- Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankası, Mart toplantısında resmi nakit faiz oranını 50+baz puan düşürecek mi?<1¢<%1
- Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankası, Mart toplantısında resmi nakit faiz oranını 25 baz puan düşürecek mi?7¢%7
- Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankası Mart toplantısında resmi nakit faiz oranında değişiklik yapmayacak mı?27¢%27
- Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankası, Mart toplantısında politika faizini 25 baz puan artıracak mı?65¢%65
- Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankası Mart toplantısında resmi nakit faiz oranını 50+ baz puan artıracak mı?1¢%1
- %0,450+ baz puanlık düşüş$1,2 B hacim
- %3%7,425 baz puan azalma$20,4 B hacim
- %26,5Değişiklik Yok$2 B hacim
- %4%64,525 baz puan artış$4,5 B hacim
- %1,150+ baz puan artış$2,2 B hacim
The RBNZ’s October 2026 hold at 2.75%—a 4-3 split—paired with Governor Breman’s subsequent statement that further Official Cash Rate increases remain likely has anchored trader expectations for a 25 basis point hike at the March 2027 meeting. Annual CPI eased to 3.7% in the September quarter but is projected to rebound toward 4.4% by December on fuel costs and import pressures, sustaining the committee’s tightening bias despite softening labor data that lifted unemployment to 5.7%. Markets price cumulative tightening into early 2027 as the base case, with the December Monetary Policy Statement and incoming inflation prints serving as the next key catalysts that could shift the path from the current 64.5% implied probability on a 25 basis point March increase.
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the March 2027 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its March 2027 meeting, scheduled for March 17, 2027, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its March 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.