- OpenAI'nin piyasa değeri, halka arz günü piyasa kapanışında 500 milyar doların altında mı olacak?<1¢<%1
- OpenAI'nin piyasa değeri halka arz günü piyasa kapanışında 500-750 milyar dolar arasında olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- OpenAI'nin piyasa değeri, halka arz günü piyasa kapanışında 750 milyar dolar ile 1 trilyon dolar arasında olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- OpenAI'nin piyasa değeri, halka arz günü piyasa kapanışında 1 trilyon ile 1.25 trilyon dolar arasında olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- OpenAI’nin piyasa değeri, halka arz günü piyasa kapanışında $1,25T ile $1,5T arasında olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- OpenAI'nin piyasa değeri IPO günü piyasa kapanışında 1,5 trilyon dolar veya daha fazla olacak mı?1¢%1
- OpenAI, 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar halka arz olmayacak mı?97¢%97
- %0,9<500B$325 B hacim
- %0,8500–750B$178,6 B hacim
- %0,6750B–1T$188,7 B hacim
- %0,71T–1.25T$232,2 B hacim
- %0,21,25T–1,5T$544,7 B hacim
- %11,5T+$167,2 B hacim
- %97,331 Aralık 2026'ya kadar halka arz yok$952,5 B hacim
OpenAI’s leadership has explicitly targeted a 2027 IPO, driving the 97.3% market-implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2026. CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety priorities in September 2026 as rendering a 2026 debut ill-advised, while President Greg Brockman and CFO Sarah Friar reaffirmed in early November that the company expects to be IPO-ready next year following its confidential S-1 filing in June. Recent private fundraising—$11 billion closed at a $1.25 trillion pre-money valuation, with the round scaled to $20 billion—bolsters the balance sheet ahead of a potential debut, supported by annualized revenue near $50 billion at end-September and projected above $70 billion by year-end, with enterprise sales now comprising the majority. The nonprofit-controlled public benefit corporation structure adds governance complexity. A material acceleration would require a sharp reversal in stated plans amid favorable equity-market conditions or competitive pressure from Anthropic’s expected listing, though the narrow remaining window makes such shifts improbable.
Kurallar
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.