2026 'da piyasa değerine göre en büyük halka arz?
SpaceXScienceİşletmeFinansElon MuskSam altmanOpenAIIPO'larBoşlukBüyük TeknolojiHalka arzİklim ve BilimOpenAI IPOAI Bubble
Başlangıç tarihi
2026-02-02
Bitiş tarihi
2027-01-02
24 sa hacim
$64K
Toplam hacim
$7.6M
  • SpaceX 2026'da en yüksek halka arz piyasa değerine sahip olacak mı?86¢%86
  • Anthropic 2026'da en yüksek halka arz piyasa değerine sahip olacak mı?13¢%13
  • OpenAI, 2026'da en yüksek halka arz piyasa değerine sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • ByteDance 2026'da en yüksek halka arz piyasa değerine sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Stripe, 2026'da en yüksek halka arz piyasa değerine sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Databricks 2026'da en yüksek halka arz piyasa değerine sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • SHEIN 2026'da en yüksek halka arz piyasa değerine sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Waymo, 2026'da en yüksek halka arz piyasa değerine sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Revolut 2026'da en yüksek halka arz piyasa değerine sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Discord, 2026'da en yüksek halka arz piyasa değerine sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Perplexity AI 2026'da en yüksek halka arz piyasa değerine sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Kraken 2026'da en yüksek Halka Arz Piyasa Değerine sahip olacak mı?<1¢<%1

SpaceX's June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise established the benchmark for 2026's largest debut by market cap, driving its 85.5% implied probability as traders price in the completed listing's scale against pending candidates. xAI's integration into SpaceX further consolidated its position within that entity. Anthropic's late-October S-1 filing and mid-November target at $1.5–2 trillion valuation create the main swing factor, though reported revenue of $16.3 billion in H1 2026 and execution risks cap its odds at 13.4%. Other AI and tech names like OpenAI, delayed to 2027, and ByteDance show negligible probabilities given timing and scale constraints. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these catalysts and historical IPO precedents.

Kurallar

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

2026 'da piyasa değerine göre en büyük halka arz?

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