- Denis Bećirović Bosna-Hersek Bakanlar Konseyi Başkanı olacak mı?31¢%31
- Radovan Višković Bosna-Hersek Bakanlar Konseyi'nin bir sonraki başkanı olacak mı?18¢%18
- Edin Forto, Bosna-Hersek Bakanlar Konseyi'nin bir sonraki Başkanı olacak mı?11¢%11
- Denis Zvizdić Bosna-Hersek Bakanlar Kurulu'nun bir sonraki başkanı olacak mı?8¢%8
- Željko Komšić, Bosna-Hersek Bakanlar Konseyi'nin bir sonraki Başkanı olacak mı?8¢%8
- Zukan Helez Bosna-Hersek Bakanlar Konseyi'nin bir sonraki başkanı olacak mı?5¢%5
- Saša Magazinović Bosna-Hersek Bakanlar Konseyi'nin bir sonraki başkanı olacak mı?5¢%5
- Srđan Amidžić Bosna-Hersek Bakanlar Konseyi'nin bir sonraki başkanı olacak mı?5¢%5
- Staša Košarac Bosna-Hersek Bakanlar Konseyi'nin bir sonraki Başkanı olacak mı?4¢%4
- Sabina Ćudić Bosna-Hersek Bakanlar Konseyi'nin bir sonraki başkanı olacak mı?4¢%4
- Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?3¢%3
- Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?2¢%2
%1%30,6Denis Bećirović$364,6 hacim
%18,3Radovan Višković$122,1 hacim
%11,1Edin Forto$1,3 B hacim
%2%8,3Denis Zvizdić$17,1 B hacim
%3%8,3Željko Komšić$2,2 B hacim
%5,5Zukan Helez$1,9 B hacim
%2%5,2Saša Magazinović$1,2 B hacim
%5Srđan Amidžić$13,2 B hacim
%4,3Staša Košarac$1,4 B hacim
%3,6Sabina Ćudić$1,4 B hacim
%3,2Nermin Nikšić$34,4 B hacim
%2,3Nebojša Vukanović$5,5 B hacim
The market for the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina remains tightly contested because the three-member Presidency nominates the candidate, subject to House of Representatives confirmation, under strict ethnic and entity representation rules that require broad coalition support. General elections on 4 October 2026 produced a new Presidency lineup—Denis Bećirović (Bosniak, re-elected), Darijana Filipović (Croat, HDZ BiH), and Željka Cvijanović (Serb, re-elected)—that assumes office on 16 November 2026. This shift, combined with the fragmented results in the House of Representatives (SDA, SNSD, SDP BiH, and HDZ BiH holding the largest blocs), has left trader consensus dispersed across dozens of potential nominees. Current chairwoman Borjana Krišto sits at low implied probability, while figures such as Bećirović, Radovan Višković, Edin Forto, and Zukan Helez lead the field amid ongoing coalition talks. The evenly matched odds reflect the structural need for agreement among the incoming Presidency members and major parties on a nominee who can secure parliamentary approval. Recent High Representative reporting and post-election statements highlight persistent institutional blockages and the slow pace of government formation. Key upcoming catalysts include the first sessions of the new parliamentary term, any Presidency nomination, and coalition deals that could consolidate support behind one candidate or open pathways for others.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.