Gambiya Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimi Kazananı
SiyasetSeçimlerKüresel SeçimlerAfrikaDünya SeçimleriAna SeçimGambiya
Başlangıç tarihi
2026-12-05
Bitiş tarihi
2026-12-05
24 sa hacim
$1K
Toplam hacim
$17K
  • Adama Barrow 2026 Gambiya başkanlık seçimlerini kazanacak mı?73¢%73
  • Ousainou Darboe 2026 Gambiya başkanlık seçimini kazanacak mı?22¢%22
  • Bakary K. Badjie 2026 Gambiya başkanlık seçimini kazanacak mı?4¢%4
  • Talib Ahmed Bensouda 2026 Gambiya başkanlık seçimini kazanacak mı?1¢%1
  • Essa Faal 2026 Gambiya başkanlık seçimlerini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Mohamed Al Amin Bah 2026 Gambiya cumhurbaşkanlığı seçimini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1
  • Mama Kandeh 2026 Gambiya başkanlık seçimlerini kazanacak mı?<1¢<%1

Incumbent Adama Barrow leads trader pricing in the December 5, 2026 Gambian presidential election at 71.5 percent, reflecting incumbency advantages, coalition alliances with smaller parties, and a fragmented opposition field. Nominations opened November 3–14 with 27 aspirants filing, including Barrow’s NPP on November 10 and Ousainou Darboe’s UDP the day prior, while the voter register was finalized at 1.146 million. Recent August 2026 polling showed Barrow at 32 percent, Darboe at 25 percent and Talib Ahmed Bensouda at 19 percent with 17 percent undecided, underscoring a tighter race than 2021 but one where opposition splits across UDP-led and other coalitions limit any single challenger’s path. Lower pricing on Darboe (23 percent) and others such as Bakary K. Badjie, Bensouda and Essa Faal tracks their regional bases and limited national consolidation ahead of the campaign period and single-round vote.

Kurallar

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).

Gambiya Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimi Kazananı

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