- Demokratların 2028 başkanlık kazanma olasılığı 31 Aralık'a kadar %75'e ulaşır mı?12¢%12
- Demokratların 2028 başkanlık şansı 31 Aralık'a kadar %70'e ulaşır mı?33¢%33
- Demokratların 2028 başkanlık şansı 31 Aralık'a kadar %60'a düşer mi?13¢%13
- Demokratların 2028 başkanlık seçimlerindeki şansı 31 Aralık'a kadar %55'e düşer mi?7¢%7
- %4%12↑ 75%$7,1 B hacim
- %23%32,5↑ 70%$4,8 B hacim
- %12,5↓ 60%$2,1 B hacim
- %7↓ 55%$2,3 B hacim
Jon Ossoff’s recent Senate reelection victory in Georgia has elevated his standing in the wide-open 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market, where traders currently assign him the highest implied probability at around 26 percent. The post-midterm environment features a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner, as multiple governors, senators, and House members test support through early-state travel, fundraising, and party strategy sessions such as the upcoming “What’s Next” summit. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Gavin Newsom follow in market pricing amid ongoing debates over the party’s direction and voter coalition priorities. Primary contests remain more than a year away, leaving room for shifts from polling trends, candidate announcements, or legislative developments before December 31.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "2028 Presidential Winner by Party" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds 70% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the Democratic Party's hourly odds value is below 70% ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for the Democratic Party (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Democratic Party in the "2028 Presidential Winner by Party" listing before January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing the Democratic Party from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds values have been published for the Democratic Party between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, this market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No". If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Democratic Party in the "2028 Presidential Winner by Party" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/president-2028-party.html and on the Democratic Party's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.