- Çekirdek PCE yıllık Ekim ayında %2,8 veya daha az olacak mı?1¢%1
- Çekirdek PCE yıllık Ekim ayında %2,9 olacak mı?5¢%5
- Çekirdek PCE yıllık %3,0 olacak mı (Ekim ayında)?16¢%16
- Çekirdek PCE yıllık bazda Ekim ayında %3,1 olacak mı?9¢%9
- Çekirdek PCE Yıllık %3,2 olacak mı Ekim ayında?25¢%25
- Çekirdek PCE yıllık değişimi Ekim ayında %3,3 olacak mı?52¢%52
- Çekirdek PCE yıllık Ekim ayında %3,4 veya daha fazla olacak mı?2¢%2
- %1,2≤2.8%$1,5 B hacim
- %3%4,52.9%$1,7 B hacim
- %1%15,83.0%$1,6 B hacim
- %7%93.1%$338,6 hacim
- %12%24,53.2%$5,1 B hacim
- %23%51,53.3%$2,1 B hacim
- %1,73.4%+$1 B hacim
Recent September data showing Core PCE reaccelerating to 3.1% year-over-year from 3.0%—alongside a hotter-than-expected CPI print—has anchored trader expectations for October around 3.2-3.3%, where market-implied odds now cluster at 36% and 28.5%. Persistent services inflation, including shelter and supercore components, combined with elevated energy pass-through earlier in the period, supports this positioning despite some cooling in goods prices. October CPI due November 10 will provide the key input ahead of the BEA release, with consensus forecasts centering near 3.1-3.2% amid mixed signals from labor costs and housing trends.
Kurallar
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending October 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for October 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on November 25, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure (the PCE price index excluding food and energy), not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure. If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.