- Fed, Aralık 2026 toplantısı sonrasında faiz oranlarını 50+ baz puan düşürecek mi?<1¢<%1
- Fed, Aralık 2026 toplantısından sonra faiz oranlarını 25 baz puan düşürecek mi?<1¢<%1
- Aralık 2026 toplantısından sonra Fed faiz oranlarında değişiklik olmayacak mı?28¢%28
- Fed, Aralık 2026 toplantısından sonra faiz oranlarını 25 baz puan artıracak mı?70¢%70
- Fed, Aralık 2026 toplantısından sonra faiz oranlarını 50+ baz puan artıracak mı?<1¢<%1
- %0,550+ baz puan düşüş$2,7 Mn hacim
- %0,825 baz puan düşüş$2,9 Mn hacim
- %6%28,5Değişiklik yok$3,6 Mn hacim
- %8%69,525 baz puan artış$4,6 Mn hacim
- %0,650+ baz puan artış$2 Mn hacim
Recent inflation data exceeding consensus forecasts and resilient labor market readings have positioned a 25 basis point rate increase as the dominant market-implied outcome for the December FOMC meeting. Traders appear to be incorporating October CPI and employment figures that signaled ongoing price pressures, prompting a shift in odds toward modest tightening rather than the earlier anticipated hold or cut. This reflects the Fed's data-dependent stance amid elevated Treasury yields and mixed growth signals. November economic releases and any fresh central bank communications remain key near-term catalysts that could alter these probabilities before the policy decision.
Kurallar
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.