- Kanada Merkez Bankası, Mart ayı faiz oranı açıklamasında gecelik faiz oranı hedefini 50+ baz puan düşürecek mi?5¢%5
- Kanada Merkez Bankası, Mart faiz oranı açıklamasında gecelik hedef oranını 25 baz puan düşürecek mi?12¢%12
- Kanada Merkez Bankası, Mart ayı faiz oranı açıklamasında gecelik borçlanma oranı hedefinde herhangi bir değişiklik yapmayacak mı?46¢%46
- Kanada Merkez Bankası, Mart ayındaki faiz oranı açıklamasında gecelik borçlanma oranı hedefini 25 baz puan artıracak mı?34¢%34
- Kanada Merkez Bankası, Mart faiz kararı açıklamasında gecelik faiz oranı hedefini 50+ baz puan artıracak mı?<1¢<%1
- %4,550+ baz puan düşüşü$475,3 hacim
- %1%12,125 baz puan düşüş$535 hacim
- %14%46Değişiklik Yok$7,9 B hacim
- %6%33,525 baz puan artış$986,8 hacim
- %0,750+ baz puan artış$759,2 hacim
Recent Bank of Canada communications and the October 28, 2026, 25-basis-point hike to a 2.5% overnight rate reflect concerns over persistent energy price pressures from Middle East supply constraints, which lifted September CPI to 3.1% and revised 2027 inflation projections above 3% through much of the year. This hawkish shift supports the 33.5% implied probability of an additional 25-basis-point increase by the March 2027 decision, though softening labor conditions—evidenced by the October unemployment rate rising to 6.7% amid net job losses—favor the 44% chance of no change as excess slack limits broader price pass-through. Market-implied odds incorporate the BoC’s data-dependent approach ahead of the December 9 meeting and January Monetary Policy Report, with weak wage growth and private-sector employment declines tempering expectations for aggressive tightening despite resilient global growth.
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the March 2027 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its March 2027 interest rate announcement, scheduled for March 3, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its March 2027 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.