- Meta, Kasım 2026 sonunda 2 numaralı yapay zeka laboratuvarı olacak mı?47¢%47
- Anthropic, Kasım 2026 sonunda 2 numaralı yapay zeka laboratuvarı olacak mı?33¢%33
- Google, Kasım 2026 sonunda 2 numaralı yapay zeka laboratuvarı olacak mı?23¢%23
- OpenAI, Kasım 2026 sonu itibarıyla en büyük 2. yapay zeka laboratuvarı olacak mı?3¢%3
- Kasım 2026 sonunda Alibaba en büyük ikinci yapay zeka laboratuvarı olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Moonshot, Kasım 2026 sonunda 2 numaralı yapay zeka laboratuvarı olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- SpaceXAI, Kasım 2026 sonunda ikinci en büyük yapay zeka laboratuvarı olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Thinky, Kasım 2026 sonunda 2 numaralı yapay zeka laboratuvarı olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Baidu, Kasım 2026 sonunda 2 numaralı yapay zeka laboratuvarı olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Z.ai, Kasım 2026 sonunda 2 numaralı yapay zeka laboratuvarı olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Nvidia, Kasım 2026 sonunda ikinci en büyük yapay zeka laboratuvarı olacak mı?<1¢<%1
- Tencent, Kasım 2026 sonunda 2 numaralı yapay zeka laboratuvarı olacak mı?<1¢<%1
%31%46,5Meta$8,3 B hacim
%32%32,5Anthropic$12,7 B hacim
%7%23Google$8,8 B hacim
%1%3OpenAI$1,6 B hacim
%1Alibaba$1,4 B hacim
%0,7Moonshot$1,4 B hacim
%0,6SpaceXAI$1,4 B hacim
%0,6Thinky$1,2 B hacim
%0,5Baidu$1,4 B hacim
%0,5Z.ai$1,4 B hacim
%0,5Nvidia$872,2 hacim
%0,4Tencent$1,9 B hacim
Trader consensus positions Meta as the frontrunner at 58% implied probability to rank as the number two AI lab by end of November, driven by its recent large language model releases emphasizing style control features. Closely matched odds near 50% for numerous other labs and the broad "Other" category reflect intense competition and uncertainty in AI capabilities, where small differences in benchmarks or demonstrated features can alter positioning. Lower probabilities for Anthropic at 25.5% and Google at 21.5% point to perceived gaps in recent progress relative to leaders. With resolution imminent, upcoming model updates or third-party evaluations could quickly shift these market-implied odds amid the fast-moving AI landscape.
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".