- Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?89¢
- Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?10¢
- Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?10¢
- Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?7¢
- Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?7¢
- Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?5¢
- Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?5¢
- Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?8¢
- Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?7¢
- Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?16¢
- Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?7¢
- Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?87¢
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
France’s April 2027 presidential election features a crowded field shaped by Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility for a third term and a fragmented political landscape. Marine Le Pen declared her candidacy in July 2026 after an appeals court reduced her ineligibility period, positioning the National Rally as the polling leader. Jean-Luc Mélenchon and other left-wing figures are advancing, with a united-left primary scheduled for October 2026 and a Socialist primary underway following Raphaël Glucksmann’s late-August declaration. Centrist contenders including Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal face competition and potential vote-splitting, while Les Républicains have endorsed Bruno Retailleau. Over two dozen candidates have declared, though official ballot access requires 500 parrainages from elected officials by early 2027; party consolidation, legal hurdles, and polling momentum will determine which names advance.