- Will no Speaker of the Knesset be elected by February 28?6¢6 %
- Will Amir Ohana be the next Speaker of the Knesset?5¢5 %
- Will Ofir Katz be the next Speaker of the Knesset?5¢5 %
- Will Eli Cohen be the next Speaker of the Knesset?6¢6 %
- Will Oded Forer be the next Speaker of the Knesset?5¢5 %
- Will Matan Kahana be the next Speaker of the Knesset?22¢22 %
- Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Speaker of the Knesset?5¢5 %
- Will Elazar Stern be the next Speaker of the Knesset?21¢21 %
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset?61¢61 %
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Speaker of the Knesset?5¢5 %
- Will Eitan Ginzburg be the next Speaker of the Knesset?8¢8 %
- Will Merav Ben Ari be the next Speaker of the Knesset?5¢5 %
- 12 %5,5 %No speaker by Feb 28Volym 156,9 $
5 %4,8 %Amir OhanaVolym 799,8 $
5 %5,3 %Ofir KatzVolym 226,4 $
16 %5,5 %Eli CohenVolym 156,9 $
7 %5,2 %Oded ForerVolym 232,5 $
9 %22 %Matan KahanaVolym 398,8 $
8 %21 %Elazar SternVolym 236,4 $
5 %61 %Yair LapidVolym 3,5 tn $
25 %5,2 %Naftali BennettVolym 161,3 $
1 %8 %Eitan GinzburgVolym 231,1 $
3 %4,7 %Merav Ben AriVolym 731,7 $
18 %6 %Ahmad TibiVolym 143,7 $
The Knesset speaker election remains tightly contested, with multiple candidates clustered near 50 percent probability and no frontrunner securing clear majority backing in the 120-seat parliament. This equilibrium reflects ongoing coalition negotiations among fragmented parties, where any viable speaker requires cross-bloc support that has yet to materialize. Recent procedural votes and party caucus discussions have failed to consolidate preferences, leaving outcomes dependent on shifting alliances and last-minute endorsements. Scheduled floor votes or formal nomination deadlines could quickly separate probabilities by revealing whip counts and coalition commitments.
Regler
Following the Israeli legislative election scheduled for October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold an internal election for the position of Speaker of the Knesset. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes Speaker of the Knesset as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Speakers appointed before the election will not count. If this election does not take place or the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No speaker by Feb 28". This market will resolve based on official information from the Knesset or a consensus of credible reporting.