- Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028?93¢93 %
- Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?91¢91 %
- Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?90¢90 %
- Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028?89¢89 %
- Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?83¢83 %
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?82¢82 %
- Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2028?82¢82 %
- Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2028?80¢80 %
- Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028?75¢75 %
- Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?74¢74 %
- Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2028?71¢71 %
- Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028?68¢68 %
38 %92,5 %Wes MooreVolym 5,4 tn $
90,8 %Andy BeshearVolym 2,1 tn $
14 %90 %Ted CruzVolym 12,4 tn $
5 %89 %J.B. PritzkerVolym 3,7 tn $
2 %83 %Pete ButtigiegVolym 4,6 tn $
4 %81,5 %Gavin NewsomVolym 7,6 tn $
11 %81,5 %Rahm EmanuelVolym 2,6 tn $
4 %79,5 %Ron DeSantisVolym 2,2 tn $
1 %74,5 %Josh ShapiroVolym 2 tn $
3 %74 %J.D. VanceVolym 8,4 tn $
7 %70,5 %Rand PaulVolym 482 $
3 %68 %Cory BookerVolym 2,9 tn $
The November 2026 midterms, which delivered Democratic majorities in Congress, have accelerated early positioning for the 2028 presidential cycle as potential contenders assess their viability after the results. No major-party figure has formally declared, yet public signals from figures such as Kamala Harris, JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Andy Beshear, and Ron DeSantis indicate ongoing consideration through donor outreach, early-state travel, and post-election comments. Analysts anticipate announcements to increase through 2027 as candidates build operations ahead of primaries, with many viewing the wide-open fields in both parties as opportunities. Trader consensus on individual announcement probabilities before 2028 reflects these timelines, structural incentives for early entrants, and the absence of term-limit barriers for most prospects.
Regler
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.