- Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?1¢1 %
- Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?1¢1 %
- Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?1¢1 %
- Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?6¢6 %
- Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?13¢13 %
- Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?75¢75 %
- 1,1 %<65mVolym 18,6 tn $
- 1,5 %65m-75mVolym 11,2 tn $
- 2 %1,4 %75m-85mVolym 9,1 tn $
- 1 %6,4 %85m-95mVolym 5,3 tn $
- 12,9 %95m-105mVolym 10,4 tn $
- 1 %74,8 %105m+Volym 21,6 tn $
Robust presales for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, which went on sale October 28 ahead of its November 20 wide release, have driven sharp upward revisions in box office tracking and explain why the market assigns a 76.9% implied probability to a $105 million-plus domestic opening. Early data from multiple trackers now points to a potential $100 million debut—more than double the predecessor’s $44.6 million—fueled by the book’s record first-week sales, a trailer that logged 109 million views in 24 hours, and confirmed epilogue appearances by Jennifer Lawrence and Josh Hutcherson. With no major competing wide releases that weekend and strong appeal among women under 25, the franchise’s built-in audience and premium-format early screenings on November 18 position the film for a high-end result.
Regler
This market will resolve according to how much "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 20 - 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.