- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?94¢94 %
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?7¢7 %
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1 %
- 2 %93,5 %Spider-Man: Brand New DayVolym 808,8 tn $
- 1 %6,9 %Avengers: DoomsdayVolym 1,3 mn $
Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-breaking theatrical run anchors the 93.5% market-implied odds, with its $2.52 billion worldwide total already securing the 2026 crown by a wide margin after a $360 million domestic opening and sustained legs that placed it third all-time globally. Strong international appeal, particularly in key markets, combined with positive critical and audience reception for its character-focused MCU story, has cemented trader consensus around the frontrunner. Avengers: Doomsday holds the remaining 7% on robust presales exceeding $100 million globally ahead of its December 18 release, though competition from Dune: Messiah and the short window before year-end limit upside. An upset would require the Avengers sequel to deliver an unprecedented opening and legs far beyond current tracking to close the roughly $700 million gap.
Regler
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.