- H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?2¢2 %
The Senate's repeated failure to advance the SAVE Act or related SAVE America Act versions beyond cloture votes explains the overwhelming trader consensus against enactment in 2026. H.R. 22 cleared the House in April 2025 and a successor measure passed in February 2026, yet Senate tallies on motions to proceed or cloture peaked at 53 votes—well short of the 60 needed to overcome a filibuster—despite multiple attempts to attach the provisions to must-pass measures such as the NDAA and appropriations bills. With Republicans holding 53 seats and no Democratic crossover support evident, procedural barriers and competing priorities have kept the legislation stalled through late 2026. Traders price in these institutional hurdles as decisive, though a narrow lame-duck window or unexpected procedural change could theoretically alter the outcome before year-end.
Regler
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.