- Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?96¢96 %
- Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?87¢87 %
- Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?82¢82 %
- Will "Possible Love" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?66¢66 %
- Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?59¢59 %
- Will "Minotaur" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?55¢55 %
- Will "Rose" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?40¢40 %
- Will "Coward" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?15¢15 %
- Will "The Dreamed Adventure" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?13¢13 %
- 1 %96,2 %The Black BallVolym 5,8 tn $
- 1 %87,5 %All of a SuddenVolym 1,7 tn $
- 1 %82 %FjordVolym 11,2 tn $
- 1 %65,5 %Possible LoveVolym 6 tn $
- 1 %58,5 %FatherlandVolym 3 tn $
- 3 %54,5 %MinotaurVolym 14,7 tn $
- 2 %40 %RoseVolym 5,5 tn $
- 1 %15 %CowardVolym 8,8 tn $
- 3 %13 %The Dreamed AdventureVolym 8 tn $
Festival acclaim from Cannes, Venice, and TIFF has shaped early trader sentiment around the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature nominations, with Spain’s La Bola Negra emerging as the consensus frontrunner after its TIFF People’s Choice win and strong critical reception. Romania’s Palme d’Or winner Fjord, France’s Minotaur, South Korea’s Possible Love, and Denmark’s Golden Lion recipient Woman Unknown also command attention following their major festival prizes. New Academy eligibility rules allowing top festival winners to qualify independently have broadened the field beyond official country submissions. The 15-film shortlist arrives December 15, 2026, followed by nominations on January 21, 2027, making U.S. distribution, guild support, and voter screenings the key swing factors in the weeks ahead.
Regler
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.