- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?2¢2 %
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?3¢3 %
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?4¢4 %
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?6¢6 %
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?8¢8 %
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?8¢8 %
- 0,5 %<20Volym 730 $
- 0,5 %20-39Volym 1,1 tn $
- 0,5 %40-59Volym 1,1 tn $
- 0,5 %60-79Volym 1,1 tn $
- 0,5 %80-99Volym 1 tn $
- 0,6 %100-119Volym 1,1 tn $
- 1,9 %120-139Volym 480,4 $
- 3,2 %140-159Volym 530 $
- 4 %160-179Volym 96,4 $
- 6 %180-199Volym 35,1 $
- 7,5 %200-219Volym 154,3 $
- 8 %220-239Volym 718,9 $
Elon Musk's posting cadence on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for the November 10–17 window, with the tight clustering around the 240–319 range reflecting his established pattern of 35–45 tweets per day during active periods. Recent weeks have shown steady output tied to platform updates, political commentary, and product announcements, keeping implied probabilities highest in those bins while lower-volume outcomes remain discounted. Key swing factors include any breaking news cycles or company milestones that could spike engagement, versus quieter stretches focused on internal operations. Historical precedent from comparable non-election weeks supports this moderate-to-high volume consensus, though daily variability leaves room for shifts depending on real-time developments.
Regler
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.