- Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 80% by March 31?8¢8 %
- Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by March 31?28¢28 %
- Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 70% by March 31?61¢61 %
- Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 60% by March 31?47¢47 %
- Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by March 31?13¢13 %
- Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 50% by March 31?8¢8 %
- 7,5 %↑ 80%Volym 1,4 tn $
- 2 %27,5 %↑ 75%Volym 3,7 tn $
- 61 %↑ 70%Volym 2,7 tn $
- 47 %↓ 60%
- 12,5 %↓ 55%Volym 5,5 tn $
- 1 %7,5 %↓ 50%Volym 4,8 tn $
Recent midterm election results have shifted trader attention in the 2028 Democratic nomination market, with Jon Ossoff rising to lead prediction market pricing near 26-27% after a strong Senate reelection in Georgia while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Gavin Newsom hold secondary positions around 13-17%. No major candidates have formally declared, leaving a wide field that includes Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, Andy Beshear, and Josh Shapiro, with early positioning focused on fundraising, donor events, and appearances in states like South Carolina and New Hampshire. A post-midterm “What’s Next” summit scheduled for mid-November in Denver will feature several potential contenders discussing party direction ahead of the 2028 primaries. Traders view the race as fluid this far out, with odds sensitive to polling shifts, candidate announcements, and any early endorsements or withdrawals before March 2027 deadlines.
Regler
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "2028 Presidential Winner by Party" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds the listed threshold (for a "↑" market) or is equal to or below the listed threshold (for a "↓" market) for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and April 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the Democratic Party's hourly odds value is below the listed threshold (for a "↑" market) or above the listed threshold (for a "↓" market) ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for the Democratic Party (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Democratic Party in the "2028 Presidential Winner by Party" listing before April 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing the Democratic Party from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds values have been published for the Democratic Party between market creation and April 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, a "↑" market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No", and a "↓" market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party is not the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No". If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Democratic Party in the "2028 Presidential Winner by Party" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/president-2028-party.html and on the Democratic Party's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.