- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?25¢25 %
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?22¢22 %
- Will Raphinha win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?13¢13 %
- Will Michael Olise win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?10¢10 %
- Will Erling Haaland win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?6¢6 %
- Will Desire Doue win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?5¢5 %
- Will Harry Kane win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?5¢5 %
- Will Jude Bellingham win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?5¢5 %
- Will Declan Rice win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?3¢3 %
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?3¢3 %
- Will Rayan Cherki win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?3¢3 %
- Will Vitinha win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?3¢3 %
- 24,5 %Lamine YamalVolym 3,1 tn $
- 1 %21,5 %Kylian MbappéVolym 2,6 tn $
- 3 %12,5 %RaphinhaVolym 1,7 tn $
- 1 %10,4 %Michael OliseVolym 1,6 tn $
- 5,9 %Erling HaalandVolym 705,4 $
- 5 %Desire DoueVolym 2,2 tn $
- 2 %4,6 %Harry KaneVolym 1,1 tn $
- 4,5 %Jude BellinghamVolym 1 tn $
- 1 %3,4 %Declan RiceVolym 619,5 $
- 3,1 %Ousmane DembéléVolym 468,5 $
- 2 %2,6 %Rayan CherkiVolym 2,6 tn $
- 2,6 %VitinhaVolym 975,8 $
The 2027 Ballon d'Or market sits wide open in its earliest phase, with Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé edging ahead at 24.5% and 21.5% implied probability as traders price in breakout form and proven scoring output. Raphinha and Michael Olise follow at 12.5% and 10.3%, reflecting strong club campaigns and Champions League exposure, while Erling Haaland, Harry Kane, and Jude Bellingham cluster lower amid injury concerns and shifting team dynamics. This tight spread among top names stems from the absence of decisive 2026-27 season milestones, leaving voter narratives fluid and historical patterns of late surges or injuries still influential. Key upcoming catalysts include winter form peaks, UEFA awards, and spring knockout results that could consolidate momentum before the October ceremony.
Regler
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Ballon d'Or award for the 2027 Ballon d'Or. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by France Football and UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.