Antonio Martín del Campo leads the Aguascalientes 2027 gubernatorial race in recent polling as the likely PAN nominee, reflecting strong party preference for PAN at 47-50% versus Morena at 25-31% across multiple October-November surveys. Internal PAN measurements show him at 57% support compared with Leonardo Montañez Castro at 22%, while head-to-head scenarios give Martín del Campo a 30-plus point edge over Morena's Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez. His prior roles as mayor and senator, combined with calls for internal unity and territorial work, have consolidated his position ahead of the party's formal selection process. The contest remains more than a year away, with nominations pending and voter emphasis on candidate profiles rather than party labels alone. Other listed contenders register negligible support in available data.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.