- Опубликует ли Илон Маск от 40 до 64 твитов с 10 по 12 сентября 2026 года?100¢100 %
- Опубликует ли Илон Маск менее 40 твитов с 10 по 12 сентября 2026 года?0¢0 %
- Опубликует ли Илон Маск от 65 до 89 твитов с 10 по 12 сентября 2026 года?0¢0 %
- Опубликует ли Илон Маск от 90 до 114 твитов с 10 по 12 сентября 2026 года?0¢0 %
- Опубликует ли Илон Маск от 115 до 139 твитов с 10 по 12 сентября 2026 года?0¢0 %
- Опубликует ли Илон Маск от 140 до 164 твитов с 10 по 12 сентября 2026 года?0¢0 %
- Опубликует ли Илон Маск от 165 до 189 твитов с 10 по 12 сентября 2026 года?0¢0 %
- Опубликует ли Илон Маск от 190 до 214 твитов с 10 по 12 сентября 2026 года?0¢0 %
- Опубликует ли Илон Маск от 215 до 239 твитов с 10 по 12 сентября 2026 года?0¢0 %
- Опубликует ли Илон Маск 240+ твитов с 10 по 12 сентября 2026 года?0¢0 %
Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the overwhelming favorite because it aligns with Elon Musk’s established X activity patterns, where he typically posts 13–21 times per day absent major breaking events. His consistent engagement with followers, replies, and commentary on tech, politics, and SpaceX updates has produced similar three-day totals in recent periods, giving the market strong historical grounding. An upset into higher brackets would require an unusually intense news cycle, product launch, or personal development that dramatically increases his output, while lower totals could occur only if he steps back for travel, meetings, or platform moderation—scenarios traders currently assign minimal probability given his routine pace.
Правила
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.