- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?95¢95 %
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?3¢3 %
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?<1¢<1 %
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?<1¢<1 %
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?<1¢<1 %
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?<1¢<1 %
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?<1¢<1 %
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?<1¢<1 %
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?<1¢<1 %
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?<1¢<1 %
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?<1¢<1 %
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?<1¢<1 %
95 %No meeting before 2027Vol. 495,3 K $
1 %2,8 %USVol. 528,3 K $
1 %0,7 %Qatar / UAEVol. 531,5 K $
0,5 %ChinaVol. 159,8 K $
0,5 %RussiaVol. 272,5 K $
0,4 %TurkeyVol. 289,8 K $
0,3 %BelarusVol. 370,4 K $
0,3 %SwitzerlandVol. 267,8 K $
0,2 %Saudi ArabiaVol. 209,3 K $
0,2 %Italy / VaticanVol. 160,7 K $
0,2 %KazakhstanVol. 185,3 K $
Persistent barriers to direct engagement between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Russian President Vladimir Putin sustain the market's overwhelming consensus that no bilateral meeting will occur before 2027. Despite recent U.S.-mediated diplomatic activity—including planned technical-level trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi around November 10-11 focused on security arrangements, energy issues, and prisoner exchanges—neither leader has committed to a summit. Putin has reiterated invitations limited to Moscow or preconditioned on major Ukrainian concessions regarding territory and neutrality, while Zelenskyy has signaled openness to neutral venues such as Turkey but rejected those terms. Ongoing battlefield stalemate, unresolved disputes over occupied regions, and the absence of verified progress toward leader-level diplomacy reinforce trader assessments of low near-term probability. A confirmed breakthrough in the Abu Dhabi process or an unexpected venue agreement at an upcoming multilateral forum could still shift outcomes.
Reguli
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.