US strike on Colombia by...?
PoliticăTrumpVenezuelaGeopolitică
Data de început
2026-01-04
Data de final
2027-01-01
Volum 24h
$7K
Volum total
$2.3M
  • US strike on Colombia by December 31?12¢12 %

Increased US-Colombian military cooperation under President Donald Trump and Colombian President Abelardo de la Espriella has centered on joint counter-narcotics training, including the Southern Vanguard 2026 exercise with over 300 US troops at Tolemaida base through November 11. This focuses on drug trafficking interdiction, illegal mining, drone threats from armed groups, and interoperability with Colombian forces. Scheduled high-level engagements, such as Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine’s November 10 visit and Vice President JD Vance’s expected November 20-21 trip, reinforce intelligence sharing and coordination within frameworks like the Shield of the Americas coalition. These developments align with US provision of surveillance assets for regional operations against cartels, supporting trader consensus on low near-term strike probability by emphasizing partnership over unilateral action.

Reguli

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

US strike on Colombia by...?

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