- Is Earth flat?<1¢<1 %
Scientific consensus from physics, astronomy, and satellite imagery has long established Earth as an oblate spheroid, driving the 99.4% implied probability for "No" on Polymarket's flat-Earth market. Traders betting real capital reflect this overwhelming evidence, reinforced by historical precedents like Eratosthenes' measurements and modern space agency confirmations that dismiss fringe theories. Pop culture keeps the debate alive through viral memes, conspiracy documentaries, and online communities, yet these generate no measurable momentum against the data. Realistic upset scenarios remain negligible, hinging on improbable events such as fabricated global revelations or market-resolution technicalities, which lack any credible basis in current trends.
Reguli
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.