- Will Tucker Wetmore win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?44¢44 %
- Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?40¢40 %
- Will Carter Faith win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?2¢2 %
- Will Emily Ann Roberts win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?1¢1 %
- Will Avery Anna win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?<1¢<1 %
10 %44 %Tucker WetmoreVol. 5,7 K $
26 %39,5 %Stephen Wilson Jr.Vol. 13,3 K $
2 %2,3 %Carter FaithVol. 1,2 K $
1,3 %Emily Ann RobertsVol. 1,4 K $
0,7 %Avery AnnaVol. 1,3 K $
Stephen Wilson Jr. holds a narrow edge in the CMA New Artist of the Year market at 52% implied probability, just ahead of Tucker Wetmore at 44%, with the remaining nominees—Avery Anna, Carter Faith, and Emily Ann Roberts—trailing far behind. Wilson’s four total nominations, including Male Vocalist of the Year and Song of the Year for “Gary,” plus his alt-country critical acclaim and prior-year exposure, have bolstered trader confidence in his broader industry appeal. Wetmore counters with stronger commercial traction, including multiple chart-toppers and an earlier ACM win, though his pop-leaning style creates a stylistic divide among voters. Final CMA member ballots closed October 27 ahead of the November 18 ceremony, leaving limited room for late momentum shifts in this historically competitive category.
Reguli
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.