- A H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) será sancionada em 2026?4¢4%
Senate procedural requirements have consistently blocked H.R. 22 and related SAVE America Act versions despite House passage in 2025 and early 2026. Multiple Senate floor votes fell short of the 60 needed to overcome filibuster opposition, with the highest tally reaching only 53 and later attempts including amendments to appropriations and defense measures also failing. Key Republican senators joined Democrats in key procedural blocks, and leadership declined to schedule further debate given insufficient support. With the 119th Congress session nearing its end and midterms concluded, the narrow remaining window for enactment before year-end has reinforced trader expectations that the bill will not reach the president for signature in 2026. Late-session compromises or rule changes remain theoretically possible but face the same structural hurdles observed throughout the year.
Regras
Este mercado será resolvido como "Sim" se o Save Act (H.R.22) for aprovado pelas duas casas do Congresso dos EUA e sancionado até 31 de dezembro de 2026, 23:59 ET. Caso contrário, este mercado será resolvido como "Não". As principais fontes para a resolução deste mercado serão o acompanhamento legislativo do Congress.gov (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) e outras informações oficiais do governo dos Estados Unidos; no entanto, também poderá ser usado um consenso de reportagens confiáveis.
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