- O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador de Ohio será entre 4.200.000 e 4.350.000?18¢
- O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador de Ohio ficará entre 4.350.000 e 4.500.000?39¢
- O total de votos na eleição intermediária de 2026 para Senador de Ohio ficará entre 4.500.000 e 4.650.000?8¢
- O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador de Ohio ficará entre 4.650.000 e 4.800.000?22¢
- O total de votos na eleição em meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador de Ohio estará entre 4.800.000 e 4.950.000?7¢
- O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para o Senado de Ohio será entre 4.950.000 e 5.100.000?25¢
- O número total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador em Ohio será igual ou superior a 5.100.000?3¢
- O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para senador de Ohio estará entre 4.050.000 e 4.200.000?<1¢
- O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador em Ohio será inferior a 3.900.000?<1¢
- O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador de Ohio ficará entre 3.900.000 e 4.050.000?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The competitive special election pitting Republican appointee Jon Husted against Democrat Sherrod Brown, rated a toss-up with polling averages within a point or two, centers trader expectations on mid-range turnout levels around 4.35M–4.8M votes. Economic pressures including inflation and affordability rank as top voter concerns in recent surveys, sustaining motivation particularly among older and independent blocs, while May primary data showed robust Democratic participation from unaffiliated voters alongside solid Republican base mobilization. With roughly eight million registered voters statewide, the special-election spotlight and battleground dynamics support elevated engagement relative to typical midterms, keeping probabilities concentrated in those bins ahead of November 3.