- O Rússia Unida vencerá entre 340 e 354 assentos na próxima eleição para a Duma Estatal da Rússia?100¢100%
- O Rússia Unida conquistará menos de 280 assentos na próxima eleição para a Duma Estatal da Rússia?0¢0%
- O Rússia Unida ganhará 355 ou mais assentos na próxima eleição para a Duma Estatal da Rússia?0¢0%
- A Rússia Unida ganhará entre 325 e 339 assentos na próxima eleição para a Duma Estatal da Rússia?0¢0%
- A Rússia Unida vai ganhar entre 280 e 294 assentos na próxima eleição para a Duma Estatal russa?0¢0%
- O Rússia Unida ganhará entre 310 e 324 assentos na próxima eleição para a Duma Estatal da Rússia?0¢0%
- A Rússia Unida conquistará entre 295 e 309 cadeiras na próxima eleição para a Duma Estatal da Rússia?0¢0%
United Russia’s strong performance in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections underpins trader consensus around 340–354 seats. The party captured roughly 58 percent of the party-list vote and prevailed in the large majority of single-mandate districts, producing a projected constitutional majority near its prior record of 343 seats. Official preliminary counts place the total at 349–355, with final certification by the Central Election Commission still pending. Minor revisions from remaining protocols or single-district recounts could shift the precise figure within or just outside the 340–354 range, though systemic factors such as the exclusion of non-systemic opposition and wartime voting arrangements have limited scope for larger swings.
Regras
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.