- Elon irá twittar entre 840 e 879 vezes em setembro de 2026?100¢100%
- Elon tuitará entre 880 e 919 vezes em setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon vai tuitar entre 800 e 839 vezes em setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon tuitará entre 920 e 959 vezes em setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon vai tuitar de 960 a 999 vezes em setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon tuitará entre 760 e 799 vezes em setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon twittará de 1000 a 1039 vezes em setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon irá tuitar entre 720 e 759 vezes em setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon vai tuitar entre 680 e 719 vezes em setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon irá tuitar de 1040 a 1079 vezes em setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon tuitará entre 640 e 679 vezes em setembro de 2026?0¢0%
- Elon irá tuitar 1400 vezes ou mais em setembro de 2026?0¢0%
The verified tweet count from Elon Musk's X account for September 2026 landed squarely in the 840-879 range, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability. With the month concluded on October 1, real-time tracking of his activity—factoring in his typical daily volume, promotional posts for xAI and Tesla, and responses to major news—aligned precisely with this bin, leaving little room for variance. Traders betting on higher ranges like 880+ or lower saw their positions collapse as the data locked in. An upset would require an unexpected recount, platform data revision, or inclusion of deleted posts, scenarios that remain highly improbable given X's public archive and established counting methods used by market participants.
Regras
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.