This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trader sentiment on Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity from September 4 to 11, 2026, centers on historical weekly posting volumes that typically range from 140 to 180, with the narrow lead for 200+ reflecting expectations of elevated engagement around the 2026 midterm cycle. The tight spread among the leading bins shows traders weighing routine platform use against potential spikes from policy announcements, campaign events, or responses to breaking domestic and international developments. Scheduled votes, executive actions, or diplomatic statements within the window could shift volumes higher, while quieter periods or focus on traditional media might keep totals closer to recent averages. Current pricing captures this balance through real-money assessments of timing and catalysts.