- Czy Stephen A. Smith zdobędzie nominację prezydencką Demokratów w 2028 roku?<1¢
- Czy Gretchen Whitmer zdobędzie nominację prezydencką Demokratów w 2028 roku?<1¢
- Czy Oprah Winfrey zdobędzie nominację prezydencką Partii Demokratycznej w 2028 roku?<1¢
- Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?<1¢
- Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?<1¢
- Czy Andy Beshear zdobędzie nominację Partii Demokratycznej na prezydenta w 2028 roku?2¢
- Czy James Talarico zdobędzie nominację prezydencką Demokratów w 2028 roku?2¢
- Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?<1¢
- Czy Pete Buttigieg zdobędzie nominację prezydencką Partii Demokratycznej w 2028 roku?5¢
- Czy Jon Ossoff zdobędzie nominację prezydencką Demokratów w 2028 roku?15¢
- Czy Gina Raimondo zdobędzie nominację prezydencką Demokratów w 2028 roku?<1¢
- Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?<1¢
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A fragmented Democratic field has produced tight prediction market pricing for the 2028 nominee, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 20.6%, Jon Ossoff at 14.8%, and Gavin Newsom at 14.3% on Polymarket as of late August 2026. Trader sentiment reflects AOC’s recent surge in early-state polling (including New Hampshire leads) and national visibility after public comments on party direction, alongside Ossoff’s steady climb despite his stated lack of interest, driven by his Georgia Senate profile and perceived electability. Newsom’s position has eased from earlier highs amid mixed polling. National surveys often show Kamala Harris leading, creating a noted gap with market pricing that favors momentum and younger or alternative profiles over name recognition alone. The 2026 midterms, primary calendar shifts elevating South Carolina, and any candidate announcements or endorsements could widen gaps among the crowded contenders.