- Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?3¢3 %
- Will Ilhan Omar be deported by June 30, 20278¢8 %
- 1 %2,7 %December 31, 2026Volum 128,6k $
- 7,5 %June 30, 2027Volum 5,2k $
Federal investigators raided Rep. Ilhan Omar’s Washington home in October 2026 as part of a probe into alleged false statements on decades-old immigration paperwork, including her birthdate on documents tied to her 2000 naturalization through her father and possible marriage-related claims. The Trump administration has publicly discussed denaturalization proceedings that could lead to removal, an unprecedented step against a sitting member of Congress. Omar, re-elected in early November, denies wrongdoing and has described the inquiry as political. Any path to deportation requires a successful civil or criminal case establishing material fraud, followed by court-ordered revocation of citizenship and formal removal proceedings—steps that historically involve extended litigation and high evidentiary thresholds, with no charges or denaturalization suit filed to date.
Regler
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.