- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?12¢12 %
- Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?7¢7 %
- Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?5¢5 %
- Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?5¢5 %
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?5¢5 %
- Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?4¢4 %
- Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?4¢4 %
- Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?4¢4 %
- Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?4¢4 %
- Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?4¢4 %
- Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?3¢3 %
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?3¢3 %
- 1 %11,5 %SomalilandVolum 124,7k $
- 6,5 %JordanVolum 13,8k $
- 5 %LebanonVolum 93,6k $
- 4,8 %QatarVolum 9,1k $
- 4,5 %KuwaitVolum 88,7k $
- 4,5 %AzerbaijanVolum 192,9k $
- 4,5 %EgyptVolum 7,6k $
- 4,4 %SyriaVolum 170,9k $
- 1 %4,4 %PakistanVolum 9,7k $
- 4,1 %OmanVolum 188,9k $
- 3,5 %TurkeyVolum 489,5k $
- 1 %2,9 %Saudi ArabiaVolum 473k $
Recent diplomatic momentum centers on Kuwait, Lebanon, and Syria as the leading candidates for Abraham Accords accession, according to a Council for a Secure America analysis released in October 2026. Kuwait ranks highest due to strengthened U.S. security ties, closer Gulf coordination, and leadership shifts favoring stability. Lebanon has advanced via a U.S.-brokered trilateral framework and ongoing security talks, while Syria has progressed after regime change, with officials reporting near-agreement on core issues. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any step on a credible Palestinian pathway, and Central Asian expansion remains limited following Kazakhstan’s November 2025 accession. These developments, alongside regional security dynamics after the 2026 Iran conflict, shape trader assessments of near-term normalization prospects before 2027.
Regler
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.