- Will Ricardo Estigarribia win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?16¢16 %
- Will Pedro Alliana win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?15¢15 %
- Will Juan Carlos Baruja win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?13¢13 %
- Will Miguel Prieto win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?13¢13 %
- Will Basilio Núñez win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?13¢13 %
- Will Eduardo Nakayama win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?12¢12 %
- Will Raúl Latorre win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?10¢10 %
- Will Arnoldo Wiens win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?9¢9 %
- Will Celeste Amarilla win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?9¢9 %
- Will Kattya González win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?6¢6 %
- Will Paraguayo Cubas win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?5¢5 %
- Will Lilian Samaniego win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?3¢3 %
15,5 %Ricardo EstigarribiaVolum 188 $
15 %Pedro AllianaVolum 418,7 $
13 %Juan Carlos BarujaVolum 136,1 $
13 %Miguel PrietoVolum 165,1 $
12,5 %Basilio NúñezVolum 132,7 $
12 %Eduardo NakayamaVolum 236,1 $
10 %Raúl LatorreVolum 128,3 $
8,5 %Arnoldo WiensVolum 148,1 $
8,5 %Celeste AmarillaVolum 248,1 $
5,5 %Kattya GonzálezVolum 133,4 $
4,8 %Paraguayo CubasVolum 113,1 $
3,1 %Lilian SamaniegoVolum 175,1 $
The ongoing banking crisis tied to Ueno Bank has triggered calls for President Santiago Peña’s resignation or impeachment, elevating Senate and Congress President Basilio Núñez while pressuring Colorado Party figures such as Vice President Pedro Alliana and internal rivals Arnoldo Wiens and Lilian Samaniego. Opposition contenders including Ricardo Estigarribia, Eduardo Nakayama, and Celeste Amarilla benefit from recent municipal gains and voter dissatisfaction with governance, health services, and security. Fragmented party primaries, coalition negotiations, and the two-year timeline to the 2028 general election keep probabilities distributed across more than a dozen names, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support within the dominant ANR or unify the divided opposition.
Regler
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Paraguayan Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by April 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Paraguay government sources, including the Tribunal Superior de Justicia Electoral (https://www.tsje.gov.py/).