Radomir Saičić leads the market at 79.5% after the Student List secured a parliamentary majority in Serbia’s October 2026 snap election, ending Aleksandar Vučić’s long dominance. The victory followed two years of student-led protests triggered by the 2024 Novi Sad train station canopy collapse and related corruption concerns, with Saičić emerging as a visible academic spokesperson for the movement. Vučić’s ineligibility for a third presidential term, due to constitutional limits, opens the field for the 2027 vote. Traders price other named figures—including Vladan Đokić, Dejan Šoškić, Đuro Macut, Ana Brnabić, and Miloš Vučević—well below 10%, reflecting the Student List’s recent electoral strength and the absence of confirmed rival candidacies. Resolution hinges on the election scheduled no later than May 2027.
The next Serbian presidential election is currently expected to be held by May 1, 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next Serbian presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins the next Serbian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Serbian government, specifically the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia (https://www.stat.gov.rs/).