- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?21¢21%
Zelenskyy’s continued tenure as Ukraine president reflects the extension of martial law through at least late October 2026, which constitutionally bars national elections amid active conflict. Recent U.S. pressure from President Trump for a leadership change prompted Zelenskyy to condition any wartime vote on a Russian-backed 60-day ceasefire for security and legislative adjustments, a threshold unmet as of mid-October. Polling indicates strong domestic resistance to immediate elections, with most Ukrainians favoring postponement until hostilities subside. Trader consensus pricing “No” at 79.5% aligns with these institutional and security barriers, alongside Zelenskyy’s public statements framing his role as ongoing defense of the country. Potential rivals exist but lack a clear electoral pathway before the June 2027 horizon without major diplomatic shifts.
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.