- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30?97¢97%
- Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30?95¢95%
- Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by November 30?95¢95%
- Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by November 30?92¢92%
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by November 30?81¢81%
- Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30?68¢68%
- Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by November 30?65¢65%
- Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?62¢62%
- Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by November 30?60¢60%
- Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by November 30?56¢56%
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30?56¢56%
- Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?51¢51%
97,5%Xi Jinping$ 14,9K vol.
1%95,2%Mark Carney$ 24,2K vol.
43%94,5%Friedrich Merz$ 11,1K vol.
2%92%Vladimir Putin$ 2K vol.
1%80,5%Mohammed bin Salman$ 1,5K vol.
1%67,5%Volodymyr Zelenskyy$ 3K vol.
4%64,5%Mark Rutte$ 3,3K vol.
1%62%Elon Musk$ 11,1K vol.
2%59,5%Andy Burnham$ 9,8K vol.
3%56,5%Emmanuel Macron$ 49,3K vol.
5%55,5%Lula da Silva$ 11,7K vol.
2%50,5%Ursula von der Leyen$ 89,8K vol.
President Donald Trump’s diplomatic schedule through late November centers on Iran de-escalation talks and Ukraine-Russia mediation efforts. A November 1-2 call with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addressed potential strikes and negotiations, while a November 6 phone discussion with Qatar’s Emir focused on mediation to prevent renewed conflict. Upcoming U.S.-mediated working-level meetings in Abu Dhabi on November 10-11 will involve Ukrainian and Russian representatives. These parallel tracks, alongside broader engagement with major powers, underpin trader consensus on elevated probabilities for conversations with Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, Mark Carney, and Mohammed bin Salman by the November 30 resolution deadline. Scheduled events within the window and ongoing bilateral diplomacy remain the primary drivers.
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.