- Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?68¢68%
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?33¢33%
67,5%Democratic$ 1,4 mln. vol.
2%32,5%Republican$ 1,3 mln. vol.
Recent Democratic gains in the 2026 midterms have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic win in 2028 at 67.5 percent, with Republicans at 32.5 percent. Democrats secured majorities in both the House and Senate, flipping multiple Republican-held seats amid voter concerns over cost-of-living pressures, tariffs, and the ongoing Iran conflict. This outcome has narrowed the Republican path to the White House while boosting early positioning for potential Democratic nominees such as Jon Ossoff. Historical midterm patterns often preview challenges for the president's party in the subsequent general election, and current pricing reflects trader assessments of these structural shifts and candidate momentum entering the 2028 cycle.
Regels
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.