- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?11¢11%
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?10¢10%
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?10¢10%
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?10¢10%
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?9¢9%
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?9¢9%
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?8¢8%
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?8¢8%
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?8¢8%
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?8¢8%
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?8¢8%
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?7¢7%
- 1%11%Israel$ 973,1 vol.
- 9,5%Mexico$ 3,6K vol.
- 2%9,5%Russia$ 2,8K vol.
- 1%9,5%South Africa$ 935,6 vol.
- 8,5%Pakistan$ 105,7K vol.
- 1%8,5%United Kingdom$ 684,3 vol.
- 1%8,1%Japan$ 18,2K vol.
- 1%7,7%Vietnam$ 12,9K vol.
- 4%7,5%Canada$ 25K vol.
- 1%7,5%Indonesia$ 20,3K vol.
- 1%7,5%Australia$ 6,5K vol.
- 1%6,5%India$ 78,1K vol.
Trump's administration has finalized multiple bilateral reciprocal trade agreements since 2025, including frameworks with China on agricultural purchases, Switzerland and Liechtenstein on tariffs and investment, and deals or frameworks involving Malaysia, Cambodia, Thailand, Vietnam, Ecuador, Jordan, Uzbekistan, Indonesia, Argentina, Taiwan, and North Macedonia. These emphasize tariff reductions, market access for U.S. agriculture and goods, and non-tariff barrier removals. With roughly eight weeks remaining before 2027, trader attention centers on whether fast-track negotiations can produce additional pacts, particularly with India or Brazil, or adjustments to existing arrangements with Canada on steel and autos amid Section 232 duties. Ongoing USMCA review and EU implementation add procedural context but face tight deadlines. The compressed window favors outcomes tied to near-term announcements over longer negotiations.
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.