- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?9¢9%
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?18¢18%
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?34¢34%
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?54¢54%
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?67¢67%
- 1%9%December 31, 2026$ 356K vol.
- 18%January 31, 2027$ 66,2K vol.
- 33,5%February 28, 2027$ 49,6K vol.
- 1%53,5%June 30, 2027$ 89,3K vol.
- 2%66,5%December 31, 2027$ 103,2K vol.
Recent confirmation from Elon Musk on SpaceX's October 20 earnings call has driven trader attention, with both companies forming independent director committees to explore a merger. Musk highlighted synergies in superintelligence software, chip design via their Terafab joint venture, robotics, orbital data centers, and connectivity, noting the firms are advancing shared AI and manufacturing goals. SpaceX's June IPO and public status add transparency, while talks reportedly began in recent weeks and could involve SpaceX acquiring Tesla. Key hurdles include securing approvals from 50% of all Tesla shares and avoiding conflicts given Musk's stakes; committees have reached no terms yet. Tesla's December 3 shareholder meeting and potential 2027 timelines represent near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment on announcement prospects.
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.