- Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?61¢61%
- Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?34¢34%
- Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?<1¢<1%
- Will Klemen Boštjančič win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?<1¢<1%
- Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?<1¢<1%
- Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?<1¢<1%
- Will Aleš Vrhovec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?<1¢<1%
- Will Gregor Novak win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?<1¢<1%
- Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?<1¢<1%
- Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?<1¢<1%
- Will Apolonija Simon win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?<1¢<1%
2%61%Zoran Janković$ 47,1K vol.
2%34%Luka Mesec$ 39,4K vol.
0,9%Anton Rop$ 23,1K vol.
0,6%Klemen Boštjančič$ 19,7K vol.
1%0,3%Aleksandar Repić$ 28,2K vol.
0,2%Aleš Primc$ 29K vol.
0,2%Aleš Vrhovec$ 18,7K vol.
Incumbent Zoran Janković holds the highest implied probability among traders due to his long record as mayor since 2006, ongoing municipal projects under the Vision 2045 framework, and consistent polling lead near 35 percent ahead of the November 15 first round. A field of 15 candidates fragments opposition support, with Luka Mesec positioned as the clearest challenger from the left at roughly 21 percent in recent surveys, potentially advancing to a November 29 runoff where margins narrow. Lower-priced contenders including Anton Rop, Aleš Primc, Klemen Boštjančič, and Aleš Vrhovec reflect limited polling traction and narrower party bases, while the overall market consensus aligns with historical patterns of strong incumbent retention in Slovenian local contests despite the possibility of a second round.
Regels
The next Ljubljana mayoral election is scheduled to be held on November 15, 2026, to elect the mayor of the City Municipality of Ljubljana, Slovenia (župan Mestne občine Ljubljana). If no candidate wins a majority of valid votes in the first round, a runoff between the two leading candidates is scheduled for November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ljubljana as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Municipal Election Commission of the City Municipality of Ljubljana (Občinska volilna komisija Mestne občine Ljubljana) and published by the State Election Commission (Državna volilna komisija, DVK) (https://www.dvk-rs.si/).