- Will Katherine Clark be the next House Majority Leader?97¢97%
- Will Pete Aguilar be the next House Majority Leader?3¢3%
- Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next House Majority Leader?2¢2%
- Will Joe Neguse be the next House Majority Leader?<1¢<1%
- Will Ted Lieu be the next House Majority Leader?<1¢<1%
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the next House Majority Leader?<1¢<1%
- Will Steve Scalise be the next House Majority Leader?<1¢<1%
- Will Jim Jordan be the next House Majority Leader?<1¢<1%
- Will Tom Emmer be the next House Majority Leader?<1¢<1%
- Will Lisa McClain be the next House Majority Leader?<1¢<1%
96,5%Katherine Clark$ 3,4K vol.
1%2,7%Pete Aguilar$ 738,4 vol.
1%1,6%Hakeem Jeffries$ 1,3K vol.
0,2%Joe Neguse$ 680,4 vol.
0,2%Ted Lieu$ 730,9 vol.
0,2%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$ 698,6 vol.
0,3%Steve Scalise$ 640,5 vol.
0,2%Jim Jordan$ 710,5 vol.
1%0,2%Tom Emmer$ 526,6 vol.
0,2%Lisa McClain$ 629,1 vol.
Democrats secured a sizable House majority in the 2026 midterm elections, flipping dozens of seats and ending Republican control. Katherine Clark, the current minority whip, has emerged as the consensus choice for majority leader in the incoming Democratic caucus, with leadership elections scheduled for mid-November. Her progression through prior roles, including caucus vice chair and assistant speaker, combined with party emphasis on maintaining discipline and advancing an affordability-focused agenda, underpins her position. Trader pricing reflects broad agreement that Clark will secure the post in the caucus vote, though a late internal challenge or unexpected withdrawal ahead of the January 2027 term start could still alter the outcome.
Regels
This market will resolve according to the first individual selected to be Majority Leader of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th United States Congress, which is scheduled to convene in January 2027 following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.