- Will Don't Be Dumb (A$AP Rocky) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?37¢37%
- Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?27¢27%
- Will Ca$ino (Baby Keem) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?10¢10%
- Will Dillagence II (Busta Rhymes & J Dilla) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?5¢5%
- Will Iceman (Drake) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?4¢4%
- Will Cry Baby (Vince Staples) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?2¢2%
- Will Bully (Ye) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?1¢1%
- Will The Fall-Off (J. Cole) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?1¢1%
- Will It's Been Awful (Isaiah Rashad) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?1¢1%
- 2%37%Don't Be Dumb - A$AP Rocky$ 22,2K vol.
- 3%27%Octane - Don Toliver$ 15,1K vol.
- 9,7%Ca$ino - Baby Keem$ 2K vol.
- 1%5,4%Dillagence II - Busta Rhymes & J Dilla$ 2,5K vol.
- 4%Iceman - Drake$ 8K vol.
- 2,4%Cry Baby - Vince Staples$ 94,8 vol.
- 1,4%Bully - Ye$ 1,7K vol.
- 1,3%The Fall-Off - J. Cole$ 7,4K vol.
- 1,3%It's Been Awful - Isaiah Rashad$ 823,1 vol.
A$AP Rocky’s “Don’t Be Dumb,” released in January 2026 after an eight-year wait, anchors trader sentiment at a 60% implied probability for the 2027 Grammy Best Rap Album. The project debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard 200, earned strong streaming and vinyl numbers, and features high-profile collaborators alongside a deliberate awards push that includes submissions across Album of the Year and multiple rap categories. Rocky has publicly framed the record as his bid for a first Grammy after prior nominations yielded no wins. With nominations set for November 16, the market reflects early consensus around Rocky’s momentum while assigning 27% to Don Toliver’s “Octane” and lower shares to Baby Keem’s “Ca$ino” and other entries, underscoring how late-year chart performance and precursor buzz could still shift the field before voting concludes.
Regels
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed album that wins Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an album is not officially nominated for Best Rap Album when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated album whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.