- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?93¢93%
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?8¢8%
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢<1%
- 1%92,5%Spider-Man: Brand New Day$ 819,6K vol.
- 1%7,8%Avengers: Doomsday$ 1,3 mln. vol.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering summer performance anchors the 92.5% market-implied odds for highest-grossing 2026 film. The July 31 release delivered the biggest domestic opening ever at $360 million, crossed $2.5 billion worldwide within weeks, and now sits well ahead of The Odyssey and every other 2026 title. Avengers: Doomsday’s December 18 launch carries strong presales and franchise momentum, yet faces a compressed window and the need for an unprecedented late-year haul to close the gap. Other contenders, including Toy Story 5 and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, trail by more than $1 billion. An upset would require Doomsday to post multiple Endgame-level weekends in its final month, a scenario traders currently view as remote.
Regels
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.