- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in November 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in November 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in November 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in November 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in November 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in November 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in November 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in November 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in November 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in November 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in November 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in November 2026?<1¢<1%
- 0,5%200-219$ 2,1K vol.
- 0,4%220-239$ 2,1K vol.
- 0,4%240-259$ 2,1K vol.
- 0,4%260-279$ 2,1K vol.
- 0,5%280-299$ 2K vol.
- 0,5%300-319$ 2K vol.
- 0,5%320-339$ 2K vol.
- 0,5%340-359$ 2K vol.
- 0,5%360-379$ 2K vol.
- 0,4%380-399$ 2,5K vol.
- 0,4%400-419$ 2,6K vol.
- 0,2%600-619$ 1,3K vol.
Elon Musk's established posting patterns on X underpin the market's heavy weighting toward 1000+ tweets for November, with historical monthly totals frequently landing in that range amid his average of roughly 38 posts per day. Recent elevated activity, including a 418-post week spanning late October into early November, has reinforced trader consensus around sustained high volume rather than a slowdown. November's 30 days and ongoing platform engagement leave room for variability, though consistent daily output near or above the median keeps the frontrunner outcome dominant in current implied probabilities.
Regels
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of November 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.