- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?2¢2%
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?2¢2%
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?4¢4%
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?7¢7%
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?7¢7%
- 0,2%<20$ 162,1 vol.
- 0,5%80-99$ 459,1 vol.
- 0,6%100-119$ 387,1 vol.
- 0,6%120-139$ 592,1 vol.
- 1,6%140-159$ 92,2 vol.
- 2,1%160-179$ 158,1 vol.
- 4,2%180-199$ 82,1 vol.
- 6,5%200-219$ 87,1 vol.
- 7%220-239$ 157,6 vol.
- 8%240-259$ 82,1 vol.
- 9%260-279$ 82,1 vol.
- 12%280-299$ 457,9 vol.
Recent posting data shows Elon Musk averaging 250–420 X posts per week in late October and early November 2026, aligning with trader consensus favoring the 280–339 ranges at combined implied probabilities near 35%. Momentum from prior weeks, including a dip to 253 posts November 2–8 after higher volumes, shapes current positioning, as frequency tends to cluster rather than swing dramatically absent major triggers. Business updates on Grok, xAI, and Tesla alongside post-election commentary remain the dominant variables, while historical patterns confirm wide daily swings of 30–70 posts can push totals across bins. The closely contested bins reflect this inherent variability, with resolution hinging on XTracker counts of main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts through November 20.
Regels
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 13 12:00 PM ET to November 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.