- Will Anthropic IPO on November 13, 2026 or earlier?3¢3%
- Will Anthropic IPO on November 16, 2026?3¢3%
- Will Anthropic IPO on November 17, 2026?5¢5%
- Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026?6¢6%
- Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?8¢8%
- Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?16¢16%
- Will Anthropic IPO on November 23, 2026?4¢4%
- Will Anthropic IPO on November 24, 2026?4¢4%
- Will Anthropic IPO on November 25, 2026?4¢4%
- Will Anthropic IPO on November 27, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Anthropic IPO on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026?42¢42%
- 3%November 13 or earlier$ 2,1K vol.
- 2%2,8%November 16$ 5,6K vol.
- 5,3%November 17$ 3,5K vol.
- 6%6%November 18$ 20,2K vol.
- 10%8%November 19$ 33,8K vol.
- 6%15,5%November 20$ 85,4K vol.
- 4%4,2%November 23$ 2,8K vol.
- 7%4%November 24$ 4K vol.
- 1%3,7%November 25$ 1,8K vol.
- 0,3%November 27$ 3,5K vol.
- 0,5%November 30$ 948,8 vol.
- 23%42%No IPO by November 30, 2026$ 34,5K vol.
Anthropic’s October 26 S-1 filing, disclosing first-half 2026 revenue of $16.3 billion (up over 1,300% year-over-year) and an initial operating profit in Q2, has accelerated the IPO timeline and shaped trader consensus around a mid-to-late November debut. Market-implied odds reflect this momentum, with specific November dates commanding the bulk of probability while “no IPO by November 30” leads at 27.5%, underscoring execution risks from the compressed roadshow window starting around November 9–10, SEC effectiveness requirements, and pre-Thanksgiving market constraints. Strong revenue trajectory and $1.5–2 trillion valuation expectations support near-term pricing, yet volatility in AI equities and the company’s noted safety and competitive risks introduce timing uncertainty that could shift probabilities ahead of the week-of-November-16 target.
Regels
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that Anthropic launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). An IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. If no IPO occurs by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by November 30, 2026". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.