- Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?78¢78%
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?12¢12%
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?8¢8%
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?4¢4%
- Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will TSMC be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Meta be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
6%77,5%Microsoft$ 7,9K vol.
4%12,5%Alphabet$ 5,1K vol.
8,2%NVIDIA$ 4,1K vol.
4%4,2%Apple$ 2,7K vol.
Microsoft holds the strongest market-implied odds to finish as the third-largest company by market capitalization at the end of November 2026 because it currently sits in that position behind Apple and NVIDIA, with only weeks remaining for meaningful reordering. Recent price action has introduced volatility, particularly NVIDIA’s double-digit percentage declines that have widened the gap to Microsoft’s roughly $4 trillion valuation while Alphabet trails further behind at around $3.4 trillion. AI infrastructure demand continues to support semiconductor and cloud leaders, yet the compressed timeline limits the scope for earnings surprises, regulatory shifts, or macro moves to rearrange the top tier. Traders view the 72.5% implied probability on Microsoft as reflecting both its stable positioning and the low likelihood of Alphabet, Broadcom, or other contenders closing the gap before month-end.
Regels
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.