- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?56¢56%
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?36¢36%
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?5¢5%
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?3¢3%
- Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will TSMC be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Meta be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?<1¢<1%
7%55,5%NVIDIA$ 6,9K vol.
1%35,5%Apple$ 4,7K vol.
5%5,1%Alphabet$ 574,1 vol.
2%2,7%Microsoft$ 651 vol.
0,3%Amazon$ 646,1 vol.
0,2%Tesla$ 974 vol.
0,2%Saudi Aramco$ 955 vol.
0,2%Broadcom$ 705,8 vol.
0,2%SpaceX$ 978 vol.
0,2%TSMC$ 801 vol.
0,2%Meta$ 846,8 vol.
NVIDIA's leadership in AI accelerators and semiconductor demand underpins the 61.5% implied probability that it finishes November 2026 as the world's second-largest company by market cap. Current rankings show Apple ahead at roughly $5.1 trillion, NVIDIA close behind near $4.8 trillion, and Microsoft at about $4.1 trillion, with trader sentiment reflecting NVIDIA's sustained edge in GPU shipments and large language model infrastructure despite recent price fluctuations. Apple at 36% and Microsoft at 3.3% trail due to slower recent momentum in hardware and cloud services relative to NVIDIA's AI positioning. With resolution just weeks away, near-term earnings, supply chain updates, or broader tech sector moves could still shift these market-implied odds in a volatile environment.
Regels
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.